So, it’s almost time for the Oscars 2019. It’ll be the first night in 5 years where I don’t stay up horribly late to watch it (doing it alone is no fun!), but seeing as I’ve seen almost all of the biggest nominees, I thought I’d try and predict who will win. As is always the case with the Oscars, there are certain categories where I know my favourite won’t win, or where they aren’t even nominated!
1. Best Picture
This is an interesting one, as personally I’d have voted for Can You Ever Forgive Me, but as it’s not on the shortlist, I think this comes down to two frontrunners – Green Book, or Roma. I keep changing my mind about this. I know there has been controversy, but knowing none of that when I first saw it back in October, I really enjoyed Green Book and can see it appealing to a wider range of voters. Having said that, Roma is picking up a lot of steam and won at the BAFTAs, so it could be a groundbreaking night for foreign films in this category and also for Netflix. I’m truly torn, but final prediction is: Green Book.
2. Best Director
As much as I’d like to see Spike Lee finally win an Oscar for directing, I think this is going to Alfonso Cuaron for Roma.
3. Actress in a Leading Role
The more films I watched between October and now, the stronger the field of potential nominees in this category became. The five finalists could have been joined by Rosamund Pike for A Private War and Nicole Kidman for a truly stunning performance in Destroyer. I’m still a little shocked at how little awards attention that film received to be honest and no doubt others I’ve forgotten. From the five women nominated, my vote would go to Melissa McCarthy, who I thought was superb in Can You Ever Forgive Me. Yet, this is clearly between Glenn Close and Olivia Colman. Would I love to see Olivia on that stage? Of course, but I think it’s going to be Glenn Close’s night. She was excellent in a film that didn’t really do much for me, but seeing as she’s missed out so many times, she’ll get this to remedy that oversight.
4. Actor in a Leading Role
I’m assuming this will come down to either Rami Malek or Christian Bale. Personally, I’d give it to Bale, but I’m guessing it’ll be Malek’s night.
5. Actress in a Supporting Role
Although I’ve yet to see If Beale Street Could Talk (it’s only been out here a week and I have a cold!), I’m putting my bet on Regina King and that’s fine with me, as she’s always superb (most recently for me in Netflix’s series Seven Seconds).
6. Actor in a Supporting Role
This is a strong category too and as much as I’d be thrilled to see Richard E Grant receive this, just to see his reaction and also because he was fantastic in this role, I think it’ll be a second win in this category for Mahershala Ali and to be honest, that’s fine with me, as I found his performance in Green Book deeply moving. It stayed with me long after I’d left the cinema and he’s more than earned it.
7. Adapted Screenplay
This could go in a number of ways, but I’m wondering if this will be where Spike Lee is awarded with a win, seeing as I doubt he’ll get best director.
8. Original Screenplay
I have no idea about this one! It could be any of them, so I’m going to go with The Favourite, as it’s clearly a popular film, but one I don’t see taking home any of the bigger awards.
9. Original Song
This isn’t even a race is it? This is Lady Gaga’s.
10. Original Score
This is another category I’m finding hard to call. I loved the music in BlacKkKlansman and I’ve yet to see If Beale Street Could Talk, which I know is the favourite of many people. I’d probably vote for Black Panther, for a score that became instantly recognisable and evoked a whole culture in just a few short notes. I’ve no idea really, but I’ll go with BlacKkKlansman.
11. Animated Feature Film
I haven’t seen them all, but I’m fairly confident in saying this is going to be a guaranteed Marvel win for Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse.
12. Documentary Feature
I’ve only seen RBG and Free Solo, so if I had to choose it would be between these two. I thoroughly enjoyed RBG, but I’m rooting for the breathtaking Free Solo. If you haven’t seen it, make sure you do!
In some years this has been more obvious to me (The Revenant springs immediately to mind) and this year I think it’ll be another win for Roma’s Alfonso Cuaron.
14. Visual Effects
I still think Avengers: Infinity War should have been in the Best Picture category. Not all films can pull off such a satisfying narrative for so many characters, but seeing as it has missed out on that, I hope it gets at least some recognition here!
15. Costume Design
My prediction here is for The Favourite, as costume dramas seem to always do well in such categories, but I’d love it to go to Black Panther.
16. Makeup & Hairstyling
This has to go to Vice, for the tremendous work helping transform Christian Bale in to Dick Cheney.
17. Production Design
I’ve no idea on the frontrunners here, but my vote would go to Black Panther.
18. Film Editing
My immediate response is that Vice should win, as so much of that film’s style is down to the editing. Yet, knowing all the behind the scenes difficulties on Bohemian Rhapsody, perhaps this will succeed in this category.
19 & 20. Sound Editing & Sound Mixing
I admit, every year I have to look up what the difference is between these two categories. Having reminded myself yet again, I’m going to say that Editing will go to Bohemian Rhapsody and Mixing to First Man, the film in which the importance of sound truly came across to me.
As I haven’t seen any of the film shorts, it would be unfair for me to make a wild guess, so I’ll leave it at that. It’ll be interesting to wake up tomorrow and see how many I got right!